Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.390891 2.612263 2.849575 3.123661 3.432442 3.770639 4.170555
2025-11-23 2.063302 2.362170 2.702517 3.121627 3.627729 4.224121 4.987505
2025-11-30 1.898303 2.248614 2.665746 3.204937 3.892100 4.750550 5.923476
2025-12-07 1.733165 2.106625 2.566734 3.184352 4.005865 5.081957 6.634356
2025-12-14 1.596129 1.981569 2.470009 3.146763 4.080406 5.354795 7.284194
2025-12-21 1.452573 1.833826 2.327925 3.030238 4.028492 5.438467 7.662139
2025-12-28 1.376622 1.767423 2.285499 3.041346 4.149332 5.771394 8.443496
2026-01-04 1.319235 1.720563 2.264032 3.076795 4.304038 6.164567 9.365041
2026-01-11 1.270415 1.681205 2.248625 3.117215 4.466304 6.581765 10.379009
2026-01-18 1.224565 1.642362 2.230116 3.149588 4.616197 6.991271 11.434574
2026-01-25 1.175663 1.595708 2.196391 3.154713 4.720865 7.333864 12.416135
2026-02-01 1.112306 1.524267 2.121230 3.088933 4.702225 7.461209 13.005958
2026-02-08 1.059870 1.467119 2.065537 3.052163 4.732437 7.683783 13.831925
2026-02-15 1.017350 1.422520 2.026269 3.038863 4.801241 7.983227 14.865565
2026-02-22 0.999957 1.414699 2.042897 3.117956 5.038034 8.621618 16.737571
2026-03-01 0.961574 1.372508 2.002702 3.097919 5.093372 8.915236 17.892779
2026-03-08 0.922568 1.327382 1.955180 3.061610 5.114612 9.141898 18.931752
2026-03-15 0.870453 1.259367 1.867232 2.949086 4.982470 9.039666 19.148339
2026-03-22 0.846732 1.235299 1.849799 2.959814 5.087407 9.444941 20.726562
2026-03-29 0.829051 1.219992 1.845843 2.994048 5.240781 9.972251 22.741903
2026-04-05 0.813252 1.206920 1.844756 3.033079 5.406778 10.548170 25.029511
2026-04-12 0.796893 1.192129 1.839832 3.064335 5.559233 11.112659 27.428373
2026-04-19 0.776868 1.170372 1.821742 3.069283 5.656542 11.559328 29.586460